Decision · Butter on Unichain

Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?

Uniswap Foundation, Butter on Unichain. Opened —, closed —; the market drew 18 traders.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on 30-day avg. Unichain TVL from 2025-07-11 to 2025-08-10:

  • Morpho — selected
  • NOT Morpho (no change)

Morpho

NOT Morpho

Where the proposer published it

From /data/butter-decisions.json.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

Disclosed terms
Decision contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: present · Question: present · Funder: present · Metadata: present available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Trading participation
145 observed trades · 18 wallets · $35,259.06 sized volume · largest wallet 43.7% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Market reading
This decision is resolved by a measured outcome, not price selection. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This decision is resolved by a measured outcome, not price selection.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Selection rule
The measured outcome decides, not the price available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Closing stretch
Closing price selection does not resolve a measured-outcome market. Not applicable
Method and evidence

Closing price selection does not resolve a measured-outcome market.

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
a measured-outcome market has no price edge to steer Not applicable
Method and evidence

a measured-outcome market has no price edge to steer

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Earlier decisions
0 earlier decisions closed before 2025-07-03T16:24:33.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Measured outcome
Funded: 0 · 0: 207132891 USD available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

These are the resolver's recorded observations, not independently verified causal effects.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence ddf0d3fe5317ee01bdb32238417efa891f3b59e133b2a416c94c6b81c77da1f7

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Executed at . The grant was paid to Morpho. Sponsor: a wallet that funded this round's liquidity and trades with Uniswap Foundation custody on Ethereum. Recipient: the Safe that runs Morpho's Merkl reward campaigns on Unichain. Neither party has published the addresses.

Evidence: 0x7a3c425b2671c8954ead980f8b9ce1dab87a65620dbe19b2912b0962fbb0cf37, 0x5069A64BC6616dEC1584eE0500B7813A9B680F7E, 0xF057afeEc22E220f47AD4220871364e9E828b2e9

From /data/engine-execution.json.

What followed #

The market was judged on 30-day avg. Unichain TVL from 2025-07-11 to 2025-08-10. What it came to:

  • Morpho: 207132891 USD

From /data/butter-decisions.json.

Impact #

At the close the market priced Morpho +55.3% against NOT Morpho (Each candidate's expected metric, min + Long × (max − min) over its range 0–400000000, from its Long at its last final trade before the decision resolved (2025-07-13T16:59:18.000Z); the funded candidate's last trade 2025-07-13T10:36:25.000Z.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.
  • 7 days after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.
  • 30 days after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

The reviewed grant payment to Morpho, verified onchain as a transfer of the grant amount.

Transaction: 0x7a3c425b2671c8954ead980f8b9ce1dab87a65620dbe19b2912b0962fbb0cf37

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

  • deployer: Uniswap Foundation

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/butter-unichain-0x472953c65c2b2b43d1df9b98a1f54faaab6c18e5/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

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