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The record

Decisions

Every decision the record counts — 102 across 5 engines — each stated as what it was for, what was known, what was done and what followed.

Decisions the census does not count — markets that drew fewer than 5 traders, test organizations, an engine's own demonstrations — are recorded too and are not listed here. The whole record is /data/decisions.json.

MetaDAO (65)

  • Umbra decision 11 — 2026-10-19
  • Areal decision 3 — 2026-10-17
  • Areal decision 2 — 2026-10-13
  • Solomon decision 6 — 2026-10-12
  • Umbra decision 10 — 2026-10-12
  • PREDICT decision 3 — 2026-10-10
  • Areal decision 1 — 2026-10-09
  • Rip Cars decision 4 — 2026-10-05
  • Futardio Cult decision 7 — 2026-10-01
  • Laso decision 1 — 2026-09-29
  • Rip Cars decision 3 — 2026-09-28
  • PREDICT decision 2 — 2026-09-28
  • Credible decision 3 — 2026-09-27
  • PREDICT decision 1 — 2026-09-25
  • Omnipair decision 4 — 2026-09-20
  • Credible decision 1 — 2026-09-19
  • Sanctum decision 1 — 2026-09-19
  • Umbra decision 9 — 2026-09-18
  • Umbra decision 7 — 2026-09-11
  • MetaDAO decision 6 — 2026-09-09
  • Paystream decision 5 — 2026-09-08
  • Solomon decision 5 — 2026-09-07
  • Rip Cars decision 2 — 2026-09-06
  • Basket decision 2 — 2026-09-05
  • MetaDAO decision 5 — 2026-08-23
  • Kimia decision 1 — 2026-08-22
  • Basket decision 1 — 2026-08-18
  • Rip Cars decision 1 — 2026-08-17
  • Umbra decision 5 — 2026-08-03
  • Futardio Cult decision 6 — 2026-08-02
  • Loyal decision 4 — 2026-07-26
  • Flash Trade decision 1 — 2026-06-26
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 8 — 2026-06-20
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 7 — 2026-06-15
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 6 — 2026-06-12
  • MetaDAO decision 4 — 2026-06-08
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 5 — 2026-06-07
  • Jurassic decision 1 — 2026-06-05
  • Paystream decision 4 — 2026-05-29
  • MetaDAO decision 3 — 2026-05-18
  • Futardio Cult decision 4 — 2026-05-14
  • Omnipair decision 3 — 2026-05-08
  • Umbra decision 4 — 2026-05-04
  • Solomon decision 4 — 2026-04-23
  • Superclaw decision 4 — 2026-04-18
  • P2P Protocol decision 1 — 2026-04-06
  • Avici decision 1 — 2026-04-04
  • Superclaw decision 3 — 2026-03-30
  • Futardio Cult decision 2 — 2026-03-26
  • MetaDAO decision 2 — 2026-03-23
  • Solomon decision 2 — 2026-03-16
  • Omnipair decision 1 — 2026-03-16
  • Solomon decision 1 — 2026-03-08
  • Futardio Cult decision 1 — 2026-03-07
  • Ranger Finance decision 4 — 2026-03-05
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 4 — 2026-02-10
  • MetaDAO decision 1 — 2026-01-26
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 2 — 2026-01-23
  • Paystream decision 2 — 2026-01-19
  • Umbra decision 2 — 2026-01-17
  • Ranger Finance decision 2 — 2026-01-16
  • Loyal decision 2 — 2025-12-26
  • Loyal decision 1 — 2025-11-29
  • ZKFG / Zinc decision 1 — 2025-11-25
  • Umbra decision 1 — 2025-11-15

Combinator (11)

  • Proposal Request: $3,000 by GainsGoblin — 2026-07-25
  • What should be the name of the 1st baby pigeon ? — 2026-07-04
  • Reimbursement for the equipment dedicated to the livestream — 2026-06-29
  • SURF 004: Burn the Treasury and Team Allocation — 2026-06-11
  • Curation market: Trade the organization you believe should launch a fundraise on Star. — 2026-04-30
  • Select the builder of Predict — 2026-04-30
  • Select the builder of Marketing Skills for Startups — 2026-04-16
  • Proposal for Star Batch #21: Trade the organization you believe should launch a fundraise on Star. — 2026-03-10
  • Select the Builder of the $CLAWPILOT Hackathon — 2026-03-05
  • FairScale Treasury Redemption Proposal — 2026-02-17
  • XIO Launch?! — 2026-01-30

Butter (4)

  • Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?
  • Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?
  • Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?
  • Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?

Umia (1)

  • Put the treasury capital to work in yield on Base? — 2026-09-19

Futarchy.fi (21)

  • TEST 2 - UI live test market, do not trade (GNO/sDAI)
  • Will GIP-153 (transition Gnosis Chain into the Ethereum Economic Zone) be passed by GnosisDAO? — 2026-08-19
  • Will GIP-151 (one-time pro-rata treasury redemption) be passed by GnosisDAO? — 2026-06-26
  • Will KIP-88 (DAO Guidance to the Cooperative) be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros Governance? If the proposal is not approved by the end of the Snapshot vote, results as ('No'). — 2026-06-05
  • Will GIP-150 (pro-rata treasury redemption) be approved by GnosisDAO? — 2026-05-10
  • Will KIP-86 (Exclude PNK held by the Kleros Cooperative from KIP-66) be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros Governance? If proposal is not approved by the end of March 2026, results as ('No'). — 2026-04-02
  • Will GIP-149 (Should Gnosis DAO fund continued support of Revoke.cash?) be approved ("Yes") or rejected ("No") by GnosisDAO? If the proposal is not approved by Mar 5, 2026 - 12:30 PM (UTC), results as ("No"). — 2026-03-05
  • Will GIP-145 (Advisory Futarchy Pilot with $100k temp liquidity) be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by GnosisDAO? If proposal is not approved by the end of February 2026, results as ('No'). — 2026-01-15
  • Will Circle deploy native USDC on Gnosis Chain on or before December 31 2025? — 2025-12-31
  • Will GnosisDAO formally adopt a governance norm requiring futarchy advisory markets—defaulting to futarchy market outcomes unless explicitly overridden—for all ≥ $5 M treasury allocations or other high‑impact strategic decisions by December 31 2025? — 2025-12-31
  • Will GNO price be at or above 130 sDAI (Savings xDAI) at December 28, 2025 11:59 PM? — 2025-12-28
  • Will 'GIP-143: Should the GnosisDAO Terminate karpatkey Treasury Management Services?' be approved by GnosisDAO before 2026-01-01 00:00 UTC?
  • Will 'KIP-81 be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros? If neither happens, this question should remain open until November 20th, 2025 at 23:59 UTC, and then resolve to 'No'.
  • Will GIP-140 Snapshot (0x3bc992771ddb3b5ddfb098ba242590e8b0d686e75c16b6691e06e3f958156821) be approved by GnosisDAO? — 2025-10-28
  • Will GIP-139 Snapshot (0x40dbf611da3cb0dc1a5fd48140330e03f90214a9410ab2a25b782c1f3160eb0b) be approved by GnosisDAO? — 2025-10-21
  • Will 'GIP-133: Should Gnosis DAO extend the Gnosis Pay Cashback budget (GIP-110) by 2,000 GNO?' be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by GnosisDAO? If unresolved by 2025-09-30 23:59 UTC, it resolves to 'No'.
  • Will 'KIP-78 be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros? If neither happens, this question should remain open until September 15th, 2025 at 23:59 UTC, and then resolve to 'No'.
  • Will 'KIP-77 be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros? If neither happens, this question should remain open until September 6th, 2025 at 23:59 UTC, and then resolve to 'No'.
  • Will 'GIP-128 Should GnosisDAO fund Gnosis Ltd with $30m year?' be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by GnosisDAO? If neither happens, this question should remain open until August 31st, 2025 at 23:59 UTC, and then resolve to 'No'.
  • Will KIP-76 – Futarchy-Based Governance Rule for PNK Minting be approved before july 16th 2025? — 2025-07-15
  • Will GnosisPay achieve more than €2,000,000 in transaction volume during any single full calendar week (Monday 00:00 UTC to Sunday 23:59 UTC) ending on or before June 30, 2025? — 2025-06-30
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Independent analysis. Eidos analyzes decision markets across five engines on Solana, Unichain, Base and Gnosis Chain. Explore market conditions, trading activity and recorded outcomes through the App, decision cases and published analysis. Eidos is independent of the engines, issuers and services it records.

Evidence and interpretation. Sources and methodology accompany the data. Market-implied expectations, execution checks and observed outcomes answer different questions. Each analytical finding names its method, supporting evidence and limitations. Missing or incomplete evidence is identified, and a no-match finding is not a statement that a decision is safe. Read the methodology.

Financial disclaimer. This material is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument, or investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Digital assets are volatile and may lose all value. Past outcomes are not indicative of future results. Data may be incomplete or delayed; no warranty of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for a particular purpose is made. Terms of Service.

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