Verify every decision made by market.
The independent system of record for decisions made by market: every figure dated when it was known, every finding with its audit trail, and each organization's own statement checked against its documents. No side taken.
Latest research
View allRead how the price formed.
What does a market imply about one choice versus another? Start with the objective and the conditional prices, then ask who traded, how much depth supported the price, and what the proposal actually commits to.
The evidence stays inspectable: what it was for, what was known, what was done and what followed.
Read the ThesisWhat is priced
The choices, objective and disclosed selection rule behind the conditional comparison.
What supports the price
Available depth, directional flow and VPIN: how much traded and how one-sided it was.
Who shaped the reading
Wallet concentration and sourced histories, without treating concentration as proof of manipulation.
What you can conclude
The market’s comparison, the evidence behind it and the questions that remain open.
Follow a decision from proposal to execution.
A decision market compares conditional valuations or forecasts against a stated objective. Eidos reads that comparison under the market’s own rules. A token-price difference is not automatically a change in enterprise value, and an expected difference is distinct from the probability that a proposal passes.
- 01Proposed
The proposal and its options, decoded from the engine's own accounts.
Recorded - 02Priced
Conditional prices and indexed trades, with their source times and coverage limits.
Recorded - 03Analyzed
Versioned instruments turn observed evidence into market readings and findings. Each states its sources, coverage and limitations.
Recorded - 04Decided
The result, under the engine's own selection rule.
Recorded - 05Executed
Whether the approved action was carried out, where a supported execution check and its evidence are available.
Checked
Trace the analysis to its evidence.
Move from a finding to the observations, domain rules and calculations behind it.
Inspect the observations
Market readings trace to decoded accounts and indexed trades. Source times and scan coverage show which part of a window the evidence covers.
Understand the governing rules
Read the choices, objective and selection rule together. The ontology gives decisions, execution and outcomes a shared meaning across the record.
Examine each calculation
Inspect available price comparisons, participation measures and detector findings. Each result names its method, evidence and coverage.
Investigate what the findings mean
Read sourced interpretations in the App, ask questions in Ask, or retrieve structured analysis through API and MCP. Follow each interpretation to the results supporting it.
Each analysis shows what is available, partial or missing. A gap in one instrument leaves other supported results readable.
Inspect how a market reached its result.
Read open windows, browse the calendar, and replay indexed closed windows. A result shows what the mechanism selected; later observations alone do not establish decision quality or causal impact.
| Organization | Result | Request | Traded by | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Areal | Failed | Unknown | 6 wallets | On the record |
| PREDICT | Passed | Unknown | 3 wallets | On the record |
| Sanctum | Passed | Unknown | 35 wallets | On the record |
| Basket | Passed | Unknown | 5 wallets | On the record |
Results under each engine's own selection rule. A request the proposal does not state is shown as unknown.
Three readers. One record.
Organizations that decide on a schedule, funds and traders pricing the result, and agents acting on their own all need trustworthy context before a window closes. Each can inspect the public record, with source times and evidence limits attached to its findings.
Funds and market participants
- Know what was knowable then
- Take the dated record home
- Read live decision markets
Market-governed organizations
- Review how your decisions are specified and carried out
- Monitor consequential markets
- Understand what is being priced
Economic agents
- Query it over MCP
- Fetch it as plain JSON
- Get provenance with the value
We keep the record. We never make the call.
A record is only worth reading if no one can profit from it before its readers do. Eidos does not trade, propose, decide, hold funds or run a market. If a fund is ever formed, it will be a separate entity that reads the record only once it is published.
- Published once, to everyone.
Every finding carries the time it was released. There is no early feed, draft view or private channel.
- Silence is published too.
A withheld reading is filed with its reason, so the absence of a finding is never a signal.
- Keyed reads leave receipts.
The ledger shows who read what, when and under which key. Anonymous public-page reads are not receipted.
- Corrections are dated and public.
A mistake is corrected on the record, and the findings it touched are checked again.
The evidence is early, and we say so.
No controlled, real-money comparison yet shows that a market chooses better than a committee. The record supplies observations for that test; a fair comparison requires further research. The Thesis sets out what would prove us wrong and registered five dated forecasts against itself: four on 29 September 2026 and one on 2 October.
- 45
- organizations have a decision the census counts, on five engines (the census, sourced)
- 32 of 37
- closed windows with enough prices to model passed, of those decided by 9 September 2026
- Zero
- decisions by outside organizations with an Eidos record attached, the number we manage the business to
Questions worth asking.
All questions01Where does the source data end and Eidos begin?
The upstream sources supply the raw material: proposals, market prices, treasury context and published investigations. Eidos interprets the conditional comparison alongside available market measurements and sourced findings. The record retains their sources, timing and limits. It does not replace the source.
02What is live on this site?
Every live decision on five engines on Solana, Unichain, Base and Gnosis Chain, each decoded from its own chain into one form: its state, its options, its engine's selection rule and each option's time-weighted price, read from confirmed onchain accounts, with sourced analytical context. Absent fields are left out, never filled from fixtures.
03What happens when evidence is missing?
The classification is withheld as UNSCORED, UNKNOWN, STALE, or UNDER_REVIEW, and the missing fields are named. Missing wallet-forensics or market inputs never classify LOW — there is no LOW.
04How is a decision's result determined?
Finalized records keep their published result. For current Futarchy v0.6 accounts, the pass-market TWAP must strictly beat the configured threshold over the fail-market TWAP; provisional live math is never presented as a final result. The market's result and the forensic context are reported independently, and what followed is measured after the close, never graded.
Add your organization's side of the record.
Every organization is on the record whether it answers or not. Beside what the chain shows, state what it cannot: what a decision is for, who it binds, what you committed to, and the documents behind it, checked and dated.