Decision · Butter on Unichain

Which lending protocol will produce the greatest increase in Unichain TVL if funded?

Uniswap Foundation, Butter on Unichain. Opened —, closed —; the market drew 18 traders.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on 30-day avg. Unichain TVL from 2025-07-11 to 2025-08-10:

  • Euler
  • NOT Euler (no change) — selected

Euler

NOT Euler

Where the proposer published it

From /data/butter-decisions.json.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

Disclosed terms
Decision contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: present · Question: present · Funder: present · Metadata: present available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Trading participation
101 observed trades · 18 wallets · $12,429.22 sized volume · largest wallet 54.0% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Market reading
This decision is resolved by a measured outcome, not price selection. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This decision is resolved by a measured outcome, not price selection.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Selection rule
The measured outcome decides, not the price available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Closing stretch
Closing price selection does not resolve a measured-outcome market. Not applicable
Method and evidence

Closing price selection does not resolve a measured-outcome market.

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
a measured-outcome market has no price edge to steer Not applicable
Method and evidence

a measured-outcome market has no price edge to steer

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Butter asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Earlier decisions
0 earlier decisions closed before 2025-07-03T16:21:54.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Measured outcome
Funded: 1 · 1: 192682096 USD available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

These are the resolver's recorded observations, not independently verified causal effects.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 57a2243a75c5235c351eb0b8ca780398e27ab3b62048503b1f4c0fc6811b3081

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Nothing to execute: the no-change option was selected. The candidate was not funded: there is nothing to carry out.

From /data/engine-execution.json.

What followed #

The market was judged on 30-day avg. Unichain TVL from 2025-07-11 to 2025-08-10. What it came to:

  • NOT Euler: 192682096 USD

From /data/butter-decisions.json.

Impact #

At the close the market priced NOT Euler -16.0% against Euler (Each candidate's expected metric, min + Long × (max − min) over its range 0–600000000, from its Long at its last final trade before the decision resolved (2025-07-13T16:58:25.000Z); the funded candidate's last trade 2025-07-13T16:47:09.000Z.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.
  • 7 days after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.
  • 30 days after: withheld — The outcome is not a token price.

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

The candidate was not funded: there is nothing to carry out. No capital moved on the decision.

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

  • deployer: Uniswap Foundation

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/butter-unichain-0x7252dbd4934a997f6f63d2bb3fd74d3c39441bb6/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

All decisions