Decision · Combinator on Solana

FairScale Treasury Redemption Proposal

FAIR, Combinator on Solana. Opened 2026-02-15, closed 2026-02-17; the market drew 44 traders.

What it was for #

The market chose among 5 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 0% threshold:

  • No (no change)
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100% — selected

No

25%

50%

75%

100%

From /data/combinator-decisions.json.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

The recorded prices imply 4: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 22.98%, against a 0.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.

Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.

Disclosed terms
Decision account: present · Options: present · Selection rule: present · Window timing: present · Question: present · Moderator: present available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Trading participation
1426 observed trades · 44 wallets · $912,625.74 sized volume · largest wallet 25.9% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Market reading
Recorded · challenger lead over the default 22.98% · threshold 0.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Selection rule
A tie keeps the default available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Closing stretch
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
Combinator asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Combinator asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
this market selects among 5 options, and the late-window playbook reads one challenger's edge over the default Not applicable
Method and evidence

this market selects among 5 options, and the late-window playbook reads one challenger's edge over the default

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
Combinator asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

Combinator asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Earlier decisions
0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-02-15T19:04:51.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Measured outcome
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 8682dbb1388c6017b0ba8bd644185d03bb61feab335993ce83fe086a45b8eac8

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Executed at . A redemption vault for the DAO's token opened after the market closed.

Evidence: 4DRJvGrEoTDDTddnffWXtYnsWyx2kjcz5h3L62id9tRD, 38yK2ToGosp8Tm16q28RBo2qDf5j1y1oKXsJ5RFMyp8pUNWxZughj8ji1Gf3Fh4mWB4zxEEME2DEJhCkdQLvNhFB

From /data/engine-execution.json.

What followed #

Withheld. No feed quotes this token: DexScreener lists no pair for it. It is recorded as absent, never as zero.

Impact #

At the close the market priced 100% +23.0% against No (Final option TWAPs from each option's pool oracle, in raw observation units.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: withheld — No feed quotes this token: DexScreener lists no pair for it. It is recorded as absent, never as zero.
  • 7 days after: withheld — No feed quotes this token: DexScreener lists no pair for it. It is recorded as absent, never as zero.
  • 30 days after: withheld — No feed quotes this token: DexScreener lists no pair for it. It is recorded as absent, never as zero.

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

What the transaction that opened the redemption vault moved; the vault is linked to the decision by construction and time, not a pointer.

Transaction: 38yK2ToGosp8Tm16q28RBo2qDf5j1y1oKXsJ5RFMyp8pUNWxZughj8ji1Gf3Fh4mWB4zxEEME2DEJhCkdQLvNhFB

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

No acting party is named by the sources.

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/combinator-solana-mainnet-beta-4U2S2LRs9Yxbf3gPMPaW9BpgXr2NsiCVTEtpH4jgktmU/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

All decisions