Decision · Futarchy.fi on Gnosis Chain

TEST 2 - UI live test market, do not trade (GNO/sDAI)

GnosisDAO, Futarchy.fi on Gnosis Chain. Opened 2026-10-05, closed —; the market drew 5 traders.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on GNO price in sDAI, if passed against if failed:

  • Pass
  • Fail (no change) — selected

From /data/futarchy-fi-decisions.json.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

Disclosed terms
Proposal contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: missing · Window timing: missing · Question: present · Organization: present · First on its question: present available · partial evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Trading participation
44 observed trades · 5 wallets · $7.51 sized volume · largest wallet 68.3% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Market reading
No time-weighted price observation is available. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

No time-weighted price observation is available.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Selection rule
No special selection terms identified available · partial evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Closing stretch
The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds.

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence

futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Earlier decisions
40 earlier decisions closed before 2026-10-05T08:58:30.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Measured outcome
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence a712b33a115c8e8a12bf54673b2ad4ac74add32f2326a9aebb69337ab64378cc

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Nothing to execute: the no-change option was selected. Fail was selected: there is nothing to carry out.

From /data/engine-execution.json.

What followed #

Withheld. The decision has no recorded close, so there is nothing to measure from.

Impact #

Withheld. The decoded record carries no closing pass and fail prices, so there is no forecast to set beside the outcome.

Capital #

Withheld. The chain has not been read for what this decision moved yet.

Who acted, and under what authority #

No acting party is named by the sources.

  • market contract: 0x0317453dd25ec0402aeb00ce0970f8e914d0da3a

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/futarchy-fi-gnosis-0x0317453dd25ec0402aeb00ce0970f8e914d0da3a/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

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