Will 'KIP-81 be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by Kleros? If neither happens, this question should remain open until November 20th, 2025 at 23:59 UTC, and then resolve to 'No'.
Kleros, Futarchy.fi on Gnosis Chain. Opened 2025-11-04, closed —; the market drew 22 traders.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on PNK price in sDAI, if passed against if failed:
- Pass
- Fail (no change) — selected
From /data/futarchy-fi-decisions.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: missing · Window timing: missing · Question: present · Organization: present · First on its question: present available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Trading participation
- 36774 observed trades · 22 wallets · $85,862.98 sized volume · largest wallet 56.6% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Market reading
- No time-weighted price observation is available. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
No time-weighted price observation is available.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Closing stretch
- The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Earlier decisions
- 5 earlier decisions closed before 2025-11-04T19:06:10.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 598fba9cff1f430171b883606044664ff1b40b3c6d60d1c426c8c9fa7d776e9b
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Nothing to execute: the no-change option was selected. Fail was selected: there is nothing to carry out.
From /data/engine-execution.json.
What followed #
Withheld. The decision has no recorded close, so there is nothing to measure from.
Impact #
Withheld. The decoded record carries no closing pass and fail prices, so there is no forecast to set beside the outcome.
Capital #
Withheld. The chain has not been read for what this decision moved yet.
Who acted, and under what authority #
No acting party is named by the sources.
- market contract:
0x2c1e08674f3f78f8a1426a41c41b8bf546fa481a
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/futarchy-fi-gnosis-0x2c1e08674f3f78f8a1426a41c41b8bf546fa481a/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .