Will GIP-145 (Advisory Futarchy Pilot with $100k temp liquidity) be approved ('Yes') or rejected ('No') by GnosisDAO? If proposal is not approved by the end of February 2026, results as ('No').
GnosisDAO, Futarchy.fi on Gnosis Chain. Opened 2026-01-09, closed 2026-01-15; the market drew 8 traders.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on GNO price in sDAI, if passed against if failed:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
From /data/futarchy-fi-decisions.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: missing · Window timing: present · Question: present · Organization: present · First on its question: present available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Trading participation
- 30805 observed trades · 8 wallets · $119,923.06 sized volume · largest wallet 87.0% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Market reading
- No time-weighted price observation is available. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
No time-weighted price observation is available.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Closing stretch
- The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Earlier decisions
- 34 earlier decisions closed before 2026-01-09T19:03:35.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 1e92bbf17ec7fcf993ce31ed9f8372420780c347d9af4a4d4af212cd8f5e15ed
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Not checked. The market is advisory: its result binds no on-chain action the record can check.
From /data/engine-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
From the tape lane gnosis/token-spot/0x9c58bacc331c9aa871afd802db6379a98e80cedb.
Impact #
Withheld. The decoded record carries no closing pass and fail prices, so there is no forecast to set beside the outcome.
Capital #
Withheld. The chain has not been read for what this decision moved yet.
Who acted, and under what authority #
No acting party is named by the sources.
- market contract:
0x45e1064348fd8a407d6d1f59fc64b05f633b28fc
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/futarchy-fi-gnosis-0x45e1064348fd8a407d6d1f59fc64b05f633b28fc/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .