Will GnosisPay achieve more than €2,000,000 in transaction volume during any single full calendar week (Monday 00:00 UTC to Sunday 23:59 UTC) ending on or before June 30, 2025?
GnosisDAO, Futarchy.fi on Gnosis Chain. Opened 2025-05-26, closed 2025-06-30; the market drew 22 traders.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on GNO price in sDAI, if passed against if failed:
- Pass
- Fail (no change) — selected
From /data/futarchy-fi-decisions.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal contract: present · Options: present · Selection rule: missing · Window timing: present · Question: present · Organization: present · First on its question: present available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Trading participation
- 4747 observed trades · 22 wallets · $1,621.73 sized volume · largest wallet 85.1% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Market reading
- No time-weighted price observation is available. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
No time-weighted price observation is available.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Closing stretch
- The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds. unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
The closing stretch requires the threshold and both window bounds.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the threshold the TWAPs were judged against is not on the record
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble Not applicable
Method and evidence
futarchy.fi asks no stake of whoever puts a decision to its market, so there is no stake to recycle or assemble
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2025-05-26T21:48:10.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 22f28767c7a388c059c0e9736295d178741e22c852bb15c9f9c828856a9ef6f9
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Nothing to execute: the no-change option was selected. Fail was selected: there is nothing to carry out.
From /data/engine-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-08T16:00:42.107Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
From the tape lane gnosis/token-spot/0x9c58bacc331c9aa871afd802db6379a98e80cedb.
Impact #
Withheld. The decoded record carries no closing pass and fail prices, so there is no forecast to set beside the outcome.
Capital #
Withheld. The chain has not been read for what this decision moved yet.
Who acted, and under what authority #
No acting party is named by the sources.
- market contract:
0xda36a35ca4fe6214c37a452159c0c9ead45d5919
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/futarchy-fi-gnosis-0xda36a35ca4fe6214c37a452159c0c9ead45d5919/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .