Decision · MetaDAO on Solana

Superclaw decision 4

Superclaw, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-04-15, closed 2026-04-18.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a -3% threshold:

  • Pass — selected
  • Fail (no change)

We hereby authorize the burning of the performance package and approve the Q2 roadmap

From /data/proposal-text.json.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 52.15%, against a -3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.

Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.

Disclosed terms
Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Trading participation
23 observed trades · 14 wallets · $886.73 sized volume · largest wallet 63.0% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Market reading
Recorded · challenger lead over the default 52.15% · threshold -3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Selection rule
Pass wins below fail — threshold ▼ 3.00% · Team class carries the lower bar available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Closing stretch
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Earlier decisions
1 earlier decisions closed before 2026-04-16T06:48:48.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Measured outcome
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence e0328ba24f5127e226f09f7abc1b12cfcda16dd93269b583820109688dd84446

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Not executed. The Squads proposal is approved.

Evidence: 2fBnwRe1Bt57FoGqjkLPX9UNhRh1cu44PpQW1uAH8mdT, FSRDg3DWd6TLg3s6TEAGxZeSvXoP4uYuW4tGx2MmHcRr

From /data/proposal-execution.json.

What followed #

The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():

  • At the close: $0.003812 (read )
  • 1 day after: $0.003553 (read )
  • 7 days after: $0.002670 (read )
  • 30 days after: $0.004320 (read )

From the tape lane solana/spot/superclaw; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=superclaw&series=price-usd.

Impact #

At the close the market priced Pass +52.2% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-04-18T06:49:00.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: -6.8%
  • 7 days after: -30.0%
  • 30 days after: +13.3%

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

The Squads proposal is approved and has not executed, so no capital has moved.

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-2kKjgU1s3u1ADGyX5Yiv5aJ11biL9W1jTwHmbCUC926a/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

All decisions