Avici decision 1
Avici, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-04-01, closed 2026-04-04.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 1.5% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
We hereby authorize the creation of the performance package and authorize the changes to the dao parameters
From /data/proposal-text.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 45.48%, against a 1.50% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Trading participation
- 233 observed trades · 26 wallets · $113,515.14 sized volume · largest wallet 60.8% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 45.48% · threshold 1.50% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- the largest-staker's funding was not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the largest-staker's funding was not read
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- the first activity or funder of 1 staking wallet(s) was not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the first activity or funder of 1 staking wallet(s) was not read
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-04-02T22:35:04.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence d66ead0b5b90314e2daed6ddfbe332fd1d3e186ae55af226f033b4d17fba4257
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Not executed. The Squads proposal is approved.
Evidence: 3zdsiwBVkUcypJxb21qqJcwRGnMomE9Yyvt3Mvr2KCcy, CPDsWWgfLpdHu25SHVGZmxuVahs7SdEGbtAMugL7kKf
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.6170 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.5962 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.5376 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.9612 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/avici; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=avici&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +45.5% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-04-04T22:36:01.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: -3.4%
- 7 days after: -12.9%
- 30 days after: +55.8%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
The Squads proposal is approved and has not executed, so no capital has moved.
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Avici —
3D854kknnQhu9xVaRNV154oZ9oN2WF3tXsq3LDu7fFMn
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-6UimhcMfgLM3fH3rxqXgLxs6cJwmfGLCLQEZG9jjA3Ry/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .