Decision · MetaDAO on Solana

Ranger Finance decision 2

Ranger Finance, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-01-13, closed 2026-01-16.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:

  • Pass — selected
  • Fail (no change)

Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 12.42%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.

Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.

Disclosed terms
Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Trading participation
966 observed trades · 68 wallets · $655,849.08 sized volume · largest wallet 17.3% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Market reading
Recorded · challenger lead over the default 12.42% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Selection rule
No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Closing stretch
2 retained reads · leader unchanged · implied outcome unchanged available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Retained observations do not establish what happened between reads or why prices changed.

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
it made 473 transactions in the 30 days before launch, more than the 400 read for bridged funding unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

it made 473 transactions in the 30 days before launch, more than the 400 read for bridged funding

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
the token's price lane (solana/spot/ranger/price-usd) begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this decision closed unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

the token's price lane (solana/spot/ranger/price-usd) begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this decision closed

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Earlier decisions
0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-01-14T01:01:15.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Measured outcome
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 3c68695458f1c6e1e6445b3f7e9170b956f62578ec865e8961c3b3ef879fba4d

Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.

What was done #

Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.

Evidence: Ftw8TAzf9gf6bizFCWFfHEtW28PHPKCbFXiC9CoBv3BY, 6JEUbBQqXLsi1dynDGnw2gs9j1ZfFZ58UdNTK74yVs9k, 2cRCErntcWUxd82xgwEmTtw281XRUs1qXWMGDeZyarH7naCTY2HAPzrQJkjkNfP3KHbyunsnjtVSHv9vJVBHZJbv

From /data/proposal-execution.json.

What followed #

The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():

  • At the close: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
  • 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
  • 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
  • 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.

From the tape lane solana/spot/ranger; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=ranger&series=price-usd.

Impact #

At the close the market priced Pass +12.4% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-01-16T01:04:17.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
  • 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
  • 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-10-07T20:00:06.252Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.

Transaction: 2cRCErntcWUxd82xgwEmTtw281XRUs1qXWMGDeZyarH7naCTY2HAPzrQJkjkNfP3KHbyunsnjtVSHv9vJVBHZJbv

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-6cdhy4j6CAAJjE1z2iQDsFda2BrqJkhtHrRWT9QasSoa/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

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