Jurassic decision 1
Jurassic, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-06-02, closed 2026-06-05.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 3.32%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
late-window-outcome-steering matched 3 of 5 indicators (ELEVATED). Based on Late-window TWAP outcome steering · derivation.
Limitations: A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Revisit when: New or corrected evidence changes the detector's inputs.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Trading participation
- 31 observed trades · 11 wallets · $3,553.72 sized volume · largest wallet 79.8% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 3.32% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Closing stretch
- 4 retained reads · leader unchanged · implied outcome unchanged available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Retained observations do not establish what happened between reads or why prices changed.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- trades: Supply indexed trades or a source-attributed tradeCadence summary unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
trades: Supply indexed trades or a source-attributed tradeCadence summary
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- ELEVATED · 3/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- the first activity or funder of 3 staking wallet(s) was not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the first activity or funder of 3 staking wallet(s) was not read
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-06-03T03:38:36.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence a0929360c8b200e2dd5933738e74a222f79c5592eedd405c8cb079dff9685720
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: 9gofVqgbFndpmVNBAv7txWK3ghLfx8A2WtEz872W6m8A, 5MHusJygjaD569F9cKQQTuvohB53UEjeYsvUkQUFF1T8, 2xyCi1VMdwgfYbF8LtYebipmkpE7TJcEKLaCJTrVcuY4CK6TcPQ1eYh8pkTYt2jE6UBZXEYdzSkqAQTZsn3pkkDM
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.05571 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.04935 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.03943 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.04561 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/jurassic-finance; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=jurassic-finance&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +3.3% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-06-05T03:39:00.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: -11.4%
- 7 days after: -29.2%
- 30 days after: -18.1%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.
- transfer 19,000 USDC from
Dv5axGVuk3qcoEBNofNLerFFEE3VemmuH8VsmNWUTSR5to6Dw1xBGXChPeS69hovvYMF2nmRxgdoA711TKuuAbN5rV
Transaction: 2xyCi1VMdwgfYbF8LtYebipmkpE7TJcEKLaCJTrVcuY4CK6TcPQ1eYh8pkTYt2jE6UBZXEYdzSkqAQTZsn3pkkDM
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Jurassic —
6wmteHRgbJRSVPg8jaieZziKf7n1itADmWjJWQjCHcG1
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-8M93PPtyJFthyy8MyiQ5ayxrg2KG7LwemoTEYo7ikc5j/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .