Omnipair decision 1
Omnipair, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-03-13, closed 2026-03-16.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a -3% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 5.33%, against a -3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Trading participation
- 59 observed trades · 11 wallets · $8,253.08 sized volume · largest wallet 47.9% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 5.33% · threshold -3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Selection rule
- Pass wins below fail — threshold ▼ 3.00% · Team class carries the lower bar available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-03-14T18:21:49.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 8beda93ea7eff29318ae0f07fe2d716321cd20dd8b7effb6e2e9c9988e34e5e5
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: 6Jr7Gm6nVpyTCNZx4wu1xP8eHNtK7yfECUE4nSj6nYme, 4FiRz86AA3x3AZ7rha6qQhhg5quVRncusGirPL2uLkjw, 3YsBu4BBePoDjhCrCa2rFtAoZzQuG3wXVwFJVnteEehFYJCpNMKWdoY9qSekZvDFoR5JVmjsU1Q8vZeHCCBHcMhp
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.2099 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.2720 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.2519 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.1360 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/omnipair; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=omnipair&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +5.3% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-03-16T18:22:06.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: +29.6%
- 7 days after: +20.0%
- 30 days after: -35.2%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.
- transfer 20,000 USDC from
8s6Jdoh7tgUqmU3D2EmpNJHSvuN5U4NybpLAdsiMitwBto4JpPs9Mi11qoj6GthQPiTjUc4gXq8BAoSs3AD6NVjQUZ
Transaction: 3YsBu4BBePoDjhCrCa2rFtAoZzQuG3wXVwFJVnteEehFYJCpNMKWdoY9qSekZvDFoR5JVmjsU1Q8vZeHCCBHcMhp
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Omnipair —
s45fTDhkzKPMFbNmUXA3bJNdF92z5cbVvHdY8LpznWQ
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-8WcHZ6U5PPa98xwXwKJxNKAhgKNdYMrwoUSpEyMdSww9/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .