P2P Protocol decision 1
P2P Protocol, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-04-03, closed 2026-04-06.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a -3% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 4.14%, against a -3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Trading participation
- 385 observed trades · 15 wallets · $50,859.27 sized volume · largest wallet 75.2% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 4.14% · threshold -3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Selection rule
- Pass wins below fail — threshold ▼ 3.00% · Team class carries the lower bar available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Closing stretch
- 2 retained reads · leader unchanged · implied outcome unchanged available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Retained observations do not establish what happened between reads or why prices changed.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-04-04T17:02:14.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence c82ab2c704c34c4887a07fce868721dca0eb27f6fc9cab6934399d34c473218e
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: 5FPSAs5KJ6HaZKsaYha4DYR4ox6h8ziHXMd8pXQrSeJL, DdMHfZfEoDWYT5BZCE1axax7whEDyRtXnWM8dw6Tip8W, 2qFrtShBDUxgLVkueQzc3x7mps1gFF8sQHzhsfUvLgZw4RxHNyFJg4kwSnz1ufsVmgkwzQTjtLd5PgCF2cr6D9De
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-04-06T18:00:00.000Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 1 day after: $0.5172 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.5374 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.5123 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/p2p-protocol; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=p2p-protocol&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +4.1% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-04-06T17:03:03.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: withheld — The close reading is withheld: The price lane for this token begins 2026-04-06T18:00:00.000Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 7 days after: withheld — The close reading is withheld: The price lane for this token begins 2026-04-06T18:00:00.000Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 30 days after: withheld — The close reading is withheld: The price lane for this token begins 2026-04-06T18:00:00.000Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.
- transfer 500,000 USDC from
9Rykf7i9fxUaXD8iD6GSGpRaoWQQP51Uiq1oxSE9oDzxto3CbL2EJTxmr1nmBRbjZrMBW3kDsWsjnc1mEKXSPcBrWF
Transaction: 2qFrtShBDUxgLVkueQzc3x7mps1gFF8sQHzhsfUvLgZw4RxHNyFJg4kwSnz1ufsVmgkwzQTjtLd5PgCF2cr6D9De
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: P2P Protocol —
CFYmVUEYikV8DaKDNs6WSHC5uAxG6T7KqFBCsAebACFu
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-AerjTFvEUDDfgpCCeMfgR1v9FtH4UiEgHCehBhV8CExF/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .