Sanctum decision 1
Sanctum, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-09-16, closed 2026-09-19.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a -1.5% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Authorize the Sanctum team to burn the remaining Community Reserve of 259M CLOUD.
From /data/proposal-text.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 1.99%, against a -1.50% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Trading participation
- 40 observed trades · 35 wallets · $2,319.84 sized volume · largest wallet 21.7% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 1.99% · threshold -1.50% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Selection rule
- Pass wins below fail — threshold ▼ 1.50% · Team class carries the lower bar available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Closing stretch
- 24 retained reads · leader unchanged · implied outcome unchanged available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Retained observations do not establish what happened between reads or why prices changed.
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two Not applicable
Method and evidence
no wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-09-17T08:02:02.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence f9a8462a0c1ef4395b139342899500813fef77f909f0acf6f11092f8b0673023
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: 6S2Vf39t81v2AUuDnn6cjjZqBucSqUASj45HaHttHdYG, 25Pg4vzXc22PTQo8SKxRn7J562efpFKTHj1yoSq9H9Z5, 3aFPu2dzYNU43MFhMsbfSKtR6uqW7CapYQ1NZNhagLHoEy763e16tL6g2XYN73j82vLjWbSg2ZSDewCtvsqHE9Sz
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.03829 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.04055 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.05963 (read )
- 30 days after: withheld — Not yet reached: the checkpoint's window is open until 2026-10-20T08:02:02.000Z.
From the tape lane solana/spot/sanctum; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=sanctum&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +2.0% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-09-19T08:03:01.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: +5.9%
- 7 days after: +55.8%
- 30 days after: withheld — Not yet reached: the checkpoint's window is open until 2026-10-20T08:02:02.000Z.
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
Executed; no asset moved: the execution made no token transfer, mint or burn and no SOL transfer (account-creation rent is not counted).
Transaction: 3aFPu2dzYNU43MFhMsbfSKtR6uqW7CapYQ1NZNhagLHoEy763e16tL6g2XYN73j82vLjWbSg2ZSDewCtvsqHE9Sz
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Sanctum —
CATL7SAzmnytyYmr9sVs92PQ2YDWowS3LN2xz3MMnB6H
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-BMquEDGFjaNBHAgZC7NmUJuTrjK1odtvJ8oF3PXFuywN/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .