Futardio Cult decision 4
Futardio Cult, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-05-11, closed 2026-05-14.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Content creator / Social media manager hire
From /data/proposal-text.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 11.08%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly matched 2 of 5 indicators (WATCH). Based on Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly · derivation.
Limitations: A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Revisit when: New or corrected evidence changes the detector's inputs.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Trading participation
- 2 observed trades · 1 wallets · $387.18 sized volume · largest wallet 100.0% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 11.08% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- the proposer's funding was not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the proposer's funding was not read
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- a pool has no priced trade, so its price path cannot be rebuilt unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
a pool has no priced trade, so its price path cannot be rebuilt
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- WATCH · 2/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Earlier decisions
- 2 earlier decisions closed before 2026-05-12T20:16:06.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 5a92001832e423595e8501396140a5a26b357b770ec767c291f2be48122f7621
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Not executed. The Squads proposal is approved.
Evidence: 2GmxRkFk4tySZCVLMpt77ETF1x4G3TRWyvRLgGL3FL8q, 71NxwAqbXbTohzE9XyNjydGRrX8viDF1BGeJiBRCxisp
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.003586 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.004201 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.009100 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.003077 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/futardio-cult; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=futardio-cult&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +11.1% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-05-14T20:17:00.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: +17.2%
- 7 days after: +153.8%
- 30 days after: -14.2%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
The Squads proposal is approved and has not executed, so no capital has moved.
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Futardio Cult —
CkEUCAooQi64UFhPFS5MWpZw6LQqjsDQBj3Z5uiXS1eN
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-E5AEP2hCTfYVq4Rnc1TKZjTauSSEYFFBr8g49ktoN3pU/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .