Superclaw decision 3
Superclaw, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-03-27, closed 2026-03-30.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:
- Pass
- Fail (no change) — selected
We hereby authorize the liquidation of the treasury and return of IP to the original owners
From /data/proposal-text.json.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply fail: the leading challenger's lead over the default is -0.61%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Trading participation
- 543 observed trades · 23 wallets · $23,871.74 sized volume · largest wallet 33.6% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default -0.61% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Earlier decisions
- 0 earlier decisions closed before 2026-03-28T04:57:55.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 8ce9da1b73d47f40a9910c8d0f8bba99b2be85579897ea68358e766353f8e5d2
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Nothing to execute. The proposal is failed, so nothing was to be executed.
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.004547 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.004165 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.003682 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.002691 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/superclaw; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=superclaw&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Fail (no change) +0.6% against Pass (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-03-30T04:58:02.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: -8.4%
- 7 days after: -19.0%
- 30 days after: -40.8%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
The proposal is failed; it authorized no execution, so no capital moved.
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Superclaw —
6WSUiKmBSM2B7QSxFAxgD9wquekzpkoRvKteFLvWWryU
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-FZNt29qdEhvnJWswpoWvvAFV5TBhnpBzUaFced3ZFx1X/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .