ZKFG / Zinc decision 4
ZKFG / Zinc, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-02-07, closed 2026-02-10.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 1.5% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 15.56%, against a 1.50% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Trading participation
- 570 observed trades · 15 wallets · $138,235.36 sized volume · largest wallet 25.9% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 15.56% · threshold 1.50% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- the largest-staker staked 1,428,526.647 tokens, of which 1,428,526.647 came by transfer from another wallet (exeCeqDuu38PAhoFxzpTwsMkMXURQvhGJE6UxFgGAKn sent the most); how that wallet acquired them is not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the largest-staker staked 1,428,526.647 tokens, of which 1,428,526.647 came by transfer from another wallet (exeCeqDuu38PAhoFxzpTwsMkMXURQvhGJE6UxFgGAKn sent the most); how that wallet acquired them is not read
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- the token's price lane (solana/spot/zklsol/price-usd) begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this decision closed unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the token's price lane (solana/spot/zklsol/price-usd) begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this decision closed
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- one wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two Not applicable
Method and evidence
one wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Earlier decisions
- 2 earlier decisions closed before 2026-02-08T21:02:03.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 5e3cb228d02b706bc35e0396d6c10642d506a9f538b803a43147eeb0bf4ae2bf
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: 2bowdUoRCce6sKT2xaPjaZH6qxa8jSCNRmKVnHDQDyjm, 7EGgda5HTni8qCPtiJgQxAiPa6pH7RvWdkUK6CAuZk8a, 5McZ997KRxU4CE18QSqLmAy5dBsLSN2QvqGB9GxDMwd5ssuvp3Ro9cPdM2BtxVzMQsavWRWrVX2CGk4tNDkEKLnd
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
From the tape lane solana/spot/zklsol; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=zklsol&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +15.6% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-02-10T21:04:00.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 7 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
- 30 days after: withheld — The price lane for this token begins 2026-08-23T14:28:16.194Z, after this checkpoint; no earlier reading is on the record.
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.
- transfer 500,000 USDC from
BNvDfXYG2FAyBDYD71Xr9GhKE18MbmhtjsLKsCuXho6zto8pkETT4bpXEDGcDqpoJ5zSRW9t7hBKgqgxKPU57VKbDR
Transaction: 5McZ997KRxU4CE18QSqLmAy5dBsLSN2QvqGB9GxDMwd5ssuvp3Ro9cPdM2BtxVzMQsavWRWrVX2CGk4tNDkEKLnd
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: ZKFG / Zinc —
5FPGRzY9ArJFwY2Hp2y2eqMzVewyWCBox7esmpuZfCvE
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-Gte4BCXKvQdzzN8sXMCXNwvKdrYSUHkTQWZVA8DECM2y/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .