Futardio Cult decision 2
Futardio Cult, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-03-23, closed 2026-03-26.
What it was for #
The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:
- Pass — selected
- Fail (no change)
Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.
What was known #
What the evidence shows
The recorded prices imply pass: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 16.59%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.
Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.
- Disclosed terms
- Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: missing · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence
Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.
Instrument disclosures v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Trading participation
- 24 observed trades · 10 wallets · $1,686.36 sized volume · largest wallet 57.2% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.
Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Market reading
- Recorded · challenger lead over the default 16.59% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.
Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Selection rule
- No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.
Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Closing stretch
- fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
fewer than 2 priced reads inside the closing stretch
Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Recycled-stake treasury extraction
- the largest-staker's funding was not read unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence
the largest-staker's funding was not read
Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.2 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Late-window TWAP outcome steering
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Wash-volume alignment inflation
- NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
- NO-MATCH · 1/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.
Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Earlier decisions
- 1 earlier decisions closed before 2026-03-24T19:48:14.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence
Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.
Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
- Measured outcome
- This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.
Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence d8ef17a22bff5076887676039bf6952b20cf33e73395d0c42fd83c07488548e2
Evaluated 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-10-19T04:56:02.804Z.
What was done #
Executed at . The Squads transaction executed, and its calls match the stored vault instructions.
Evidence: ETUnz4BknSjkehiJHWEwGuSHKK8C7wh5j51xCfY3RDwV, 4RQzUrSYh32mpXzvfwqAmiD5JhmWoHLmWoSFRTgyXay3, 3aH9oSJFnmqGjWiirLKP7QrVSL6t6eMGKQVXKmjmcx9XUjamsK3zNdJ65JyPudYEFRivTEapMnzTviPKq5rzGseS
From /data/proposal-execution.json.
What followed #
The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():
- At the close: $0.005633 (read )
- 1 day after: $0.008961 (read )
- 7 days after: $0.002500 (read )
- 30 days after: $0.002586 (read )
From the tape lane solana/spot/futardio-cult; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=futardio-cult&series=price-usd.
Impact #
At the close the market priced Pass +16.6% against Fail (no change) (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-03-26T19:49:02.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:
- 1 day after: +59.1%
- 7 days after: -55.6%
- 30 days after: -54.1%
Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.
Capital #
What the Squads execute that carried out the decision moved, at every call depth beneath it.
- transfer 7,000 USDC from
FeMyhpB3LJuuuA1oLzXFDuZ48EJz46gyyk3w2xuQA8uwto4EVux62aiuJi2uW4y8HEG6qzoj8iQt7YCPezz54iBku5
Transaction: 3aH9oSJFnmqGjWiirLKP7QrVSL6t6eMGKQVXKmjmcx9XUjamsK3zNdJ65JyPudYEFRivTEapMnzTviPKq5rzGseS
From /data/decision-capital.json.
Who acted, and under what authority #
- dao: Futardio Cult —
CkEUCAooQi64UFhPFS5MWpZw6LQqjsDQBj3Z5uiXS1eN
This record
IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-HiihSh8H6D1JAPpDeD8oNwqQ8AkTmYA9QS82p5NPSRhN/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .