Decision · MetaDAO on Solana

This proposal liquidates the company and returns IP and rights back to the operators and terminates the SP.

Areal, MetaDAO on Solana. Opened 2026-10-17, closed 2026-10-20.

What it was for #

The market chose among 2 options, judged on time-weighted conditional token price over the window with a 3% threshold:

  • Pass
  • Fail (no change) — selected

Withheld. The proposal's Squads transaction carries no memo text.

What was known #

What the evidence shows

Ask about this decision

The recorded prices imply fail: the leading challenger's lead over the default is 0.07%, against a 3.00% threshold. Based on Market reading · derivation.

Limitations: Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Revisit when: A correction to the final prices or governing rule.

Disclosed terms
Proposal account: present · Proposal class: present · Decision threshold: present · Window timing: present · Proposer stake: missing · Proposer address: present · Execution account: present · Decision market: missing available · partial evidence
Method and evidence

Presence of a disclosed term does not verify its truth or execution.

Instrument disclosures v1.0.1 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Trading participation
13 observed trades · 6 wallets · $150.21 sized volume · largest wallet 33.3% of sized volume available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Wallets are addresses, not identified independent participants. Volume and concentration cover dollar-sized observed trades only.

Instrument participation v2.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Market reading
Recorded · challenger lead over the default 0.07% · threshold 3.00% available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Conditional prices are not probabilities of passage or evidence of causal impact.

Instrument market-selection v1.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Selection rule
No special selection terms identified available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Semantic observations describe disclosed terms only — never an attack finding, an indicator, or a classification. Monitored playbooks stay withheld without indexed forensics.

Instrument selection-rule v1.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Closing stretch
24 retained reads · leader unchanged · implied outcome unchanged available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Retained observations do not establish what happened between reads or why prices changed.

Instrument closing-window v1.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Recycled-stake treasury extraction
trades: Supply indexed trades or a source-attributed tradeCadence summary unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

trades: Supply indexed trades or a source-attributed tradeCadence summary

Instrument recycled-stake-treasury-extraction v1.0.3 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Late-window TWAP outcome steering
the trades rebuild a pass edge of -1.33% against the printed 0.07%, more than 1 point apart, so the window's weights cannot be read from them unavailable · unknown evidence
Method and evidence

the trades rebuild a pass edge of -1.33% against the printed 0.07%, more than 1 point apart, so the window's weights cannot be read from them

Instrument late-window-outcome-steering v3.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Wash-volume alignment inflation
NO-MATCH · 0/5 indicators matched available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

A pattern match does not establish intent; a no-match does not establish safety.

Instrument wash-volume-alignment-inflation v4.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Coordinated multi-wallet stake assembly
one wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two Not applicable
Method and evidence

one wallet staked this proposal's launch, and assembly needs at least two

Instrument coordinated-multiwallet-stake-assembly v3.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Earlier decisions
3 earlier decisions closed before 2026-10-17T11:27:04.000Z available · complete evidence
Method and evidence

Prior selections are historical context, not an estimate of decision quality.

Instrument prior-decisions v1.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Measured outcome
This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records. Not applicable
Method and evidence

This instrument reads measured-outcome resolution records.

Instrument measured-outcome v1.0.0 · evidence 139d53f8d063024fb2726de51c7b03711a02b4500ecd7af2711fab009e765beb

Evaluated 2026-11-02T06:06:37.129Z. Evidence cutoff 2026-11-02T06:06:37.129Z.

What was done #

Nothing to execute. The proposal is failed, so nothing was to be executed.

From /data/proposal-execution.json.

What followed #

The organization's token price in USD, from the close ():

  • At the close: $0.001656 (read )
  • 1 day after: $0.001722 (read )
  • 7 days after: $0.001771 (read )
  • 30 days after: withheld — Not yet reached: due 2026-11-19T11:27:04.000Z.

From the tape lane solana/spot/areal-finance; the whole series is at /api/organization-history?slug=areal-finance&series=price-usd.

Impact #

At the close the market priced Fail (no change) -0.1% against Pass (Final pass and fail TWAPs at finalization (2026-10-20T11:28:01.000Z), normalized conditional prices.). What the token did afterwards:

  • 1 day after: +4.0%
  • 7 days after: +6.9%
  • 30 days after: withheld — Not yet reached: due 2026-11-19T11:27:04.000Z.

Two numbers side by side, not a verdict on the decision.

Capital #

The proposal is failed; it authorized no execution, so no capital moved.

From /data/decision-capital.json.

Who acted, and under what authority #

As known at the close #

Every row of the record carries the time Eidos learned it. Read this decision as Eidos knew it at the close, , beside what this page says today. A part learned after the close, or one the record stores no knowledge time for, is withheld by name, never backfilled.

This record

IRI https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-HqrhRsWL8fESRM1ySpW2pnU6hT5kvLW6Tnde7cox1nWa/, an instance of Decision. Machine-readable: the object view. Built .

Cite this decision #

Eidos. "This proposal liquidates the company and returns IP and rights back to the operators and terminates the SP.." Areal on MetaDAO, closed 2026-10-20. Decision record, https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-HqrhRsWL8fESRM1ySpW2pnU6hT5kvLW6Tnde7cox1nWa/ (retrieved 2026-11-02).

Markdown: Eidos. [This proposal liquidates the company and returns IP and rights back to the operators and terminates the SP.](https://eidos.software/decisions/metadao-solana-mainnet-beta-HqrhRsWL8fESRM1ySpW2pnU6hT5kvLW6Tnde7cox1nWa/). Areal on MetaDAO, closed 2026-10-20. Decision record, retrieved 2026-11-02.

The address is the decision's IRI and does not change. The record is as of . To cite one part, add its anchor to the address: #what-it-was-for, #what-was-known, #what-was-done, #what-followed, #impact, #capital, #parties. How to cite · Corrections

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